History · 3 years
Overview · Outlook index · updated daily
About the CPI Sentiment
AI-driven analysis of Consumer Price Index sentiment and inflation expectations - capturing core vs. headline CPI narrative dynamics, shelter cost commentary, and market reactions to monthly price data.
Macro sentiment indicators capture the aggregate narrative bias across economic data releases, not just individual prints. A rising Awareness score alongside deteriorating Sentiment is a classic recession-fear signal. These indicators are best used to track how quickly markets are repricing macro risk, rather than to predict the data itself.
Key drivers
- PMI composite readings (manufacturing + services)
- Consumer confidence surveys (Conference Board, UoM)
- Retail sales and personal spending data
- Leading economic indicators (LEI)
- Labor market health (jobless claims, JOLTS)
Reading the Outlook scale
- 0-20Deeply PessimisticCoverage dominated by risk-aversion signals; narrative heavily skewed toward pessimistic conditions.
- 21-40PessimisticBelow-neutral conditions with cautious market positioning; optimism subdued relative to the 30-day baseline.
- 41-60Now · 57NeutralBalanced coverage with no clear directional bias. Market is in a wait-and-see posture, awaiting a catalyst.
- 61-80OptimisticPositive momentum building in the narrative; coverage tilting toward optimistic catalysts and upside scenarios.
- 81-100Highly OptimisticElevated risk of mean-reversion. Watch for sentiment exhaustion signals and divergence from the Awareness score.
How to use this index
- Use the Outlook score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for CPI at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside cpi sentiment, inflation outlook, consumer price index analysis, ai macro sentiment, alternative data macro - helping traders and analysts track CPI outlook shifts in real time.
Latest news
CPI in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
Neel Kashkari backs more Fed tightening on inflation
Inflation is still running hot across the U.S. economy, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said, reinforcing the case for more tightening even as oil-market shocks add fresh pressure to prices.
Read moreTrump $5,000 checks draw inflation warning
Sen. Bill Cassidy’s warning that Donald Trump’s proposed $5,000 payments would be “absolutely inflationary” puts a price tag on the political risk of another round of deficit-financed stimulus: higher borrowing costs for households, more pressure on the Federal Reserve, and a fresh test of how serious Washington is about inflation after years of fighting it.
Read moreSwitzerland inflation gap and household costs
Swiss inflation is officially subdued, yet the gap between headline price data and what households pay for essentials is keeping pressure on living standards and on the credibility of the country’s cost-of-living picture.
Read moreKosovo Inflation Tops 7% as Wages Lag
Inflation is becoming a more serious household and policy problem in Kosovo, and that matters because it is squeezing consumption, weakening confidence and exposing how dependent the economy remains on imports. Former Kosovo Chamber of Commerce chief Safet Gërxhaliu says prices are rising faster than wages, leaving many families unable to cover basic living costs.
Read moreNepal inflation rises to 5.96% in mid-August
Consumer prices in Nepal accelerated sharply to 5.96% in mid-August, a jump that matters because it is already eroding household purchasing power at the start of the fiscal year and may force policymakers to keep monetary conditions tighter than they would prefer.
Read moreCroatia anchor price rule adds costs for businesses
Croatia’s government is forcing traders and service providers to display “anchor” prices from Sept. 10 starting Oct. 1, a move that gives consumers a new way to compare price hikes but also adds compliance costs, operational complexity and fresh political friction in the fight against inflation.
Read moreU.S.-Denmark Greenland Security Deal Expands Arctic Presence
The United States and Denmark have finalized a Greenland security agreement that expands the U.S. military footprint in the Arctic, giving Donald Trump a political win while leaving the island’s sovereignty formally intact.
Read moreArgentina Peso Weakening Debate Hits Growth
Argentina’s government should allow the peso to weaken modestly now, economist Martín Rapetti argues, because the disinflation drive has run into a wall and further currency strength is starting to hurt activity, jobs and the political durability of the stabilization plan.
Read moreIndia Congress targets food inflation in state polls
India’s opposition Congress is turning food inflation into an election weapon, arguing that voters in five key states will punish Prime Minister Narendra Modi over the cost of staples such as flour, pulses and edible oil.
Read moreDutch rail sabotage raises travel costs
Dutch rail travel has been jolted by suspected sabotage at multiple track locations, and the economic pain is likely to show up fastest in higher costs for passengers and operators already grappling with stubborn inflation.
Read moreEmbed
Put this indicator on your site
Add the live gauge to your page, or share it with your audience.
Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the CPI index?
AI-driven analysis of Consumer Price Index sentiment and inflation expectations - capturing core vs. headline CPI narrative dynamics, shelter cost commentary, and market reactions to monthly price data.
How is the CPI index calculated?
The CPI index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Deeply Pessimistic) to 100 (Highly Optimistic), where 50 represents neutral conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the CPI index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs once per day. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.