History · 3 years
Overview · Sentiment index · updated daily
About the Oil WTI Sentiment
Machine-learning fear and greed signal for WTI crude oil - capturing US inventory sentiment, shale production outlook, refinery demand discussions, and geopolitical supply premium narratives.
Commodity sentiment is driven by the intersection of supply narratives and macro demand signals. Awareness readings are particularly useful here because supply disruptions generate media coverage before they impact price discovery. A high-Awareness / low-Sentiment combination often signals a contested supply narrative without clear directional resolution.
Key drivers
- Supply disruption and production reports (OPEC, USDA, EIA)
- USD strength (inverse relationship for dollar-denominated commodities)
- Global manufacturing PMI and industrial demand data
- Seasonal demand patterns and inventory cycles
- Geopolitical risks affecting supply chains
Reading the Sentiment scale
- 0-20Extreme FearCoverage dominated by risk-aversion signals; narrative heavily skewed toward fear conditions.
- 21-40FearBelow-neutral conditions with cautious market positioning; optimism subdued relative to the 30-day baseline.
- 41-60NeutralBalanced coverage with no clear directional bias. Market is in a wait-and-see posture, awaiting a catalyst.
- 61-80Now · 62GreedPositive momentum building in the narrative; coverage tilting toward greed catalysts and upside scenarios.
- 81-100Extreme GreedElevated risk of mean-reversion. Watch for sentiment exhaustion signals and divergence from the Awareness score.
How to use this index
- Use the Sentiment score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for Oil WTI at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside oil wti trade signals, uso outlook, crude oil analysis, ai energy trade signals, alternative data commodities - helping traders and analysts track Oil WTI sentiment shifts in real time.
Latest news
Oil WTI in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
Bangladesh raises fuel prices by Tk 20 a litre
Bangladesh has raised the price of all fuel oil by Tk 20 a litre, a move that will lift transport and production costs across the economy just as households are already under strain from elevated prices.
Read moreSyria Energy Ministry Says Imports Still Drive Costs
Syria’s push to rebuild oil and gas output matters because it is really a race to cut a crushing hard-currency import bill that is distorting the wider economy, propping up fuel shortages and keeping electricity costs elevated.
Read moreGreece weighs heating oil support before Oct. 15
Greece is preparing a new round of fuel support measures that could cut heating oil prices below 1.75 euros a liter from Oct. 15, underscoring how the Middle East shock has turned winter energy costs into a fresh political and fiscal problem for Athens and a revenue question for refiners and fuel retailers.
Read morePetrobras Amazon oil plans in Brazil face backlash
Oil exploration in Brazil’s Amazon is turning into a bigger economic and political wager for President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, promising jobs, royalties and investment for one of the country’s poorest states while raising the risk of environmental backlash, indigenous conflict and long delays before any barrels reach market.
Read moreChina Membrane Refining Cuts Energy Use 91%
Chinese researchers say they have developed a membrane-based “molecular refining” process that cut energy use in crude processing by about 91% in laboratory tests, a potentially major advance for one of the most energy-intensive parts of the oil industry.
Read moreDiesel shortages keep refining margins elevated
The world may be able to pull more crude from the ground, but it is still struggling to turn that oil into the diesel that powers freight, farming and heavy industry.
Read moreFrance Pechelbronn waste risk hits lithium project
A new lithium and geothermal project in northern Alsace is forcing France to confront a toxic legacy buried for decades in the old Pechelbronn oil field, where about 80,000 cubic metres of chemical waste were dumped into abandoned wells and underground galleries after the site stopped producing oil.
Read moreAl-Zawya Oil Refining Starts Plant Upgrade
Al-Zawya Oil Refining has started work on a major upgrade to its oil mixing and bottling plant that aims to more than double annual capacity, a move that could lower unit costs, reduce downtime and improve Libya’s ability to supply finished lubricants to its domestic market.
Read moreSaudi Aramco Cuts Crude Supply to Refiners
Saudi Aramco’s decision to tell refiners it will not make crude oil available next month is the kind of supply shock Europe can least afford, tightening an already strained market and keeping Brent and WTI elevated above levels that are already feeding inflation and refinery stress.
Read morePetrobras Amazon Oil Hunt Near Oiapoque
Petrobras’s offshore hunt near Brazil’s Amazon frontier is turning Oiapoque into a test case for whether oil wealth can lift one of the country’s poorest regions without damaging fragile river and coastal ecosystems.
Read moreEmbed
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Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the Oil WTI index?
The Oil Fear and Greed Index is a market sentiment indicator that gauges the emotional climate of the oil market, ranging from extreme fear to extreme greed. This unique index tracks key factors such as oil price fluctuations, global economic conditions, geopolitical events, and energy market sentiment, providing valuable insights into how investors are feeling about the future of oil prices.
Every day, the index processes millions of data points, utilizing AI-driven sentiment analysis to evaluate market trends, news reports, oil supply and demand shifts, and political instability. By combining these inputs, the index offers a real-time view of whether the oil market is being driven by fear (often tied to uncertainty or crises) or greed (typically during periods of strong economic growth or rising oil demand).
For oil traders, energy investors, and financial analysts, the Oil Fear and Greed Index is a powerful tool to monitor price volatility, track market cycles, and predict potential shifts in oil prices. Understanding the emotional mood of the market can help guide investment strategies, especially during times of oil price surges or supply disruptions.
How is the Oil WTI index calculated?
The Oil WTI index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed), where 50 represents neutral conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the Oil WTI index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs once per day. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.