History · 3 years
Overview · Sentiment index · updated daily
About the US Dollar Sentiment
AI-based intelligence tracking broad US Dollar sentiment - measuring DXY momentum, dollar strength expectations, and global de-dollarization vs. dollar dominance narratives.
FX sentiment is heavily influenced by interest rate differentials and macro data surprises relative to consensus. Sentiment divergences between two currency-pair components (e.g., USD bullish + EUR bearish) often provide cleaner directional signals than either in isolation. Awareness spikes around major central bank meetings frequently precede volatility regime changes.
Key drivers
- Central bank interest rate differentials
- CPI and GDP surprises versus consensus
- Trade balance and current account data
- Geopolitical risk events affecting safe-haven flows
- CFTC COT positioning reports
Reading the Sentiment scale
- 0-20Extreme BearishCoverage dominated by risk-aversion signals; narrative heavily skewed toward bearish conditions.
- 21-40BearishBelow-neutral conditions with cautious market positioning; optimism subdued relative to the 30-day baseline.
- 41-60NeutralBalanced coverage with no clear directional bias. Market is in a wait-and-see posture, awaiting a catalyst.
- 61-80BullishPositive momentum building in the narrative; coverage tilting toward bullish catalysts and upside scenarios.
- 81-100Now · 100Extreme BullishElevated risk of mean-reversion. Watch for sentiment exhaustion signals and divergence from the Awareness score.
How to use this index
- Use the Sentiment score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for US Dollar at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside us dollar trade signals, usd outlook, dollar index analysis, ai forex trade signals, alternative data forex - helping traders and analysts track US Dollar sentiment shifts in real time.
Latest news
US Dollar in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
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Paraguay’s development bank is opening a $100 million funding pool for industrial companies, a move that expands long-term credit for factories, exporters and plant upgrades as lending to the sector surges to a record this year.
Read moreEUR/USD Stays Near 1.15 as Dollar Remains Firm
The euro-dollar pair is stuck near 1.15 as a still-firm U.S. dollar and a widening policy gap between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank continue to define the trade.
Read moreLee Kuan Yew Montblanc pen sells for $360,000
A Montblanc fountain pen once owned by Singapore’s founding prime minister Lee Kuan Yew has sold for $360,000, more than 10 times the auction estimate, underscoring how political provenance can overwhelm the value of the object itself.
Read moreBitcoin Rises Above $81,000 After Short Squeeze
Bitcoin jumped back above $81,000 after a brutal short squeeze wiped out nearly $192 million in leveraged positions in an hour, restoring momentum to the biggest cryptocurrency and easing fears that higher interest rates would trigger a deeper pullback.
Read moreKenyan shilling weakens as reserves fall
The Kenyan shilling weakened modestly against the US dollar as the country’s foreign exchange reserves fell by KSh 21 billion in a week, trimming a key buffer that helps the central bank smooth currency volatility and meet import demand.
Read moreGold Price Forecast: UOB Sees $5,400 by 2027
Gold’s next big move may still be up, and the market underestimates how powerful the backdrop can be when U.S. rates stay elevated, the dollar firms and central banks keep stretching the cycle. UOB is calling for gold to reach $4,500 an ounce by the end of 2026, then climb to $5,100 in the second quarter of 2027 and $5,400 in the third quarter, even as the Federal Reserve keeps signaling a higher-for-longer policy path.
Read morePennsylvania grandparent scam money laundering plea
A 33-year-old Dominican national living in New Jersey has pleaded guilty in Pennsylvania to laundering money from a grandparents scam that investigators say duped elderly victims out of more than $1 million.
Read moreMexico City reconstruction funds tied to fraud claims
A long-running reconstruction project in Mexico City has become a symbol of how post-earthquake repair money can be captured by fraud, leaving residents exposed to structural risk nearly nine years after the 2017 quake.
Read moreEuro slips as ECB fixes rate at $1.1460
The euro slipped against the dollar on Friday, with the European Central Bank setting its reference rate at $1.1460, down from $1.1481 a day earlier, as the greenback remained firm and traders kept betting on a widening U.S. yield advantage.
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Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the US Dollar index?
AI-based intelligence tracking broad US Dollar sentiment - measuring DXY momentum, dollar strength expectations, and global de-dollarization vs. dollar dominance narratives.
How is the US Dollar index calculated?
The US Dollar index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Extreme Bearish) to 100 (Extreme Bullish), where 50 represents neutral conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the US Dollar index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs once per day. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.