History · 3 years
Overview · Mood index · updated daily
About the Durable Goods Inflation Sentiment
AI-based analysis of durable goods price dynamics - monitoring inflation signals across appliances, electronics, and big-ticket items as supply chains normalize or tighten.
Consumer sentiment indicators track narrative shifts across spending categories, not just headline retail data. Category-level Awareness spikes often precede sector earnings revisions by four to six weeks as analyst coverage catches up to on-the-ground sentiment shifts. Sentiment divergences across related categories (e.g., healthcare rising, discretionary falling) can signal income-squeeze dynamics.
Key drivers
- Retail sales reports (headline and core)
- Consumer confidence surveys
- Wage growth and disposable income data
- Credit card spending and delinquency trends
- Inflation pass-through commentary and pricing power signals
Reading the Mood scale
- 0-20Now · 11Severely StressedCoverage dominated by risk-aversion signals; narrative heavily skewed toward stressed conditions.
- 21-40StressedBelow-neutral conditions with cautious market positioning; optimism subdued relative to the 30-day baseline.
- 41-60StableBalanced coverage with no clear directional bias. Market is in a wait-and-see posture, awaiting a catalyst.
- 61-80ConfidentPositive momentum building in the narrative; coverage tilting toward confident catalysts and upside scenarios.
- 81-100Very ConfidentElevated risk of mean-reversion. Watch for sentiment exhaustion signals and divergence from the Awareness score.
How to use this index
- Use the Mood score to gauge the prevailing narrative bias for Durables at a glance.
- The Awareness score flags unusual spikes in coverage - early-warning signals that often precede price moves.
- Extreme readings (0-20 or 81-100) historically mark periods of heightened volatility and potential reversals.
- Compare across related topics to find cross-asset divergences and correlation breakdowns.
- Pro subscribers can view 3 years of history to calibrate thresholds against past market regimes.
This index is frequently referenced alongside durable goods inflation, price sentiment, ai inflation sentiment, internet goods prices, alternative data inflation - helping traders and analysts track Durables mood shifts in real time.
Latest news
Durables in the news
The headlines feeding this index, newest first.
Oracle Earnings and CPI Data Ahead of Thursday
Oracle delivered a strong earnings report, but investors are still bracing for whether Thursday’s U.S. inflation reading will once again jolt rates, tech stocks and the broader market.
Read moreIndia sugar prices ease before festive season
Sugar prices are easing across India just ahead of the festive season, and the drop matters because it can take a bite out of food inflation, relieve household budgets and reduce the pressure on policymakers to intervene further.
Read moreRussia school goods prices stay stable before Sept. 1
Russia’s Industry and Trade Ministry says it received no complaints about inflated prices for school goods ahead of Sept. 1, a sign the annual back-to-school shopping rush did not trigger the kind of price spike authorities have been watching for.
Read moreBanten Farmer Exchange Rate Rises 1.05% in August
Banten’s farmers are getting a modest but economically meaningful lift to purchasing power, with the province’s farmer exchange rate, or NTP, rising 1.05% in August to 113.02, signaling that agricultural incomes are improving faster than the costs of household needs and farm inputs.
Read moreArgentina wholesale prices rise on construction inputs
Wholesale prices rose again in August, with building materials among the clearest sources of upward pressure, reinforcing a cost backdrop that could keep construction and housing margins under strain even as broader inflation shows signs of easing.
Read moreCanadian Tariffs Raise Select U.S. Import Prices
New U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods will lift prices for some imported items, but the broader inflation impact is likely to be limited because the levies cover only a slice of bilateral trade and arrive in an economy where underlying price pressures are still relatively contained.
Read moreEgypt Inflation Rises as Shrinkflation Grows
Egypt’s latest jump in urban inflation is doing more than lifting the cost of living: it is pushing households into a quieter form of price pain, where goods keep their sticker price but shrink in size or quality.
Read moreApple, Microsoft buybacks face higher price risk
Apple and Microsoft are once again returning huge amounts of capital to shareholders, but the timing matters as much as the size: both stocks have run up sharply, and buybacks now face the same test that every mature mega-cap eventually does — whether repurchasing shares at elevated prices still creates value.
Read moreRomania inflation forecast raised to 6.1% by BNR
Romania’s inflation problem is not going away, and that is the real story for households, policymakers and investors: the National Bank of Romania has lifted its year-end inflation forecast to 6.1% and is still keeping the policy rate at 6.50%, signaling that price pressures will remain sticky well into autumn and beyond.
Read moreRomania BNR keeps 6.50% rate, sees inflation target by 2027
Romania’s central bank is signaling that the inflation fight will be long and costly, even after price growth eased from its recent peak, because the National Bank of Romania now sees inflation returning to target only at the end of 2027.
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Methodology
How the index is built
Data sources, scoring and update cadence, in plain terms.
What is the Durables index?
AI-based analysis of durable goods price dynamics - monitoring inflation signals across appliances, electronics, and big-ticket items as supply chains normalize or tighten.
How is the Durables index calculated?
The Durables index is derived from AI-powered NLP analysis of thousands of online news sources, blogs, and financial commentary. Sentiment scores range from 0 (Severely Stressed) to 100 (Very Confident), where 50 represents stable conditions. Awareness scores capture the volume and breadth of coverage for this topic across the media landscape.
How often is the Durables index updated?
The underlying data pipeline runs once per day. However, the gauge and score displayed on this page reflect a processed snapshot that may be 3–24 hours behind real-time, depending on the topic's update cadence and how quickly new data clears the processing pipeline. The exact timestamp of the data shown is visible in the gauge footer - hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why does the gauge show data from a few hours ago?
The gauge reflects a processed data snapshot, not a live feed. Depending on the topic, displayed values can be 3–24 hours behind real-time - fast-moving topics (crypto, equities) update more frequently, while slower-cycle topics (macro, real estate, geopolitics) may have a longer lag. The precise data timestamp is always visible in the gauge footer: hover the info icon to see it in your local time.
Why use sentiment analysis?
Sentiment uses natural language processing to analyze and quantify investors' opinions, which is different from traditional indicators like volatility (VIX), volume, or price trends. This gives you an edge over others who rely solely on price-based data.
How to interpret the figures?
The gauges show the latest indicator percentiles for the last two quarters. Values above 50 mean an upward trend, while below 50 means a downward trend. A reading above 70% signals greed, and below 30% signals fear. When price and sentiment trends diverge, it's a strong sign the trend will continue.
What does awareness represent?
Besides sentiment, we also provide a measurement of awareness - an indicator of media activity expressed as a ratio of topic-dedicated data compared to the total. Values over 50 indicate an increasing media trend and growing investors' interest; less than 50 signals decreasing attention.
What is sentiment analysis and why measure it?
Sentiment analysis is a way to determine whether a piece of text is positive, negative, or neutral. It helps understand how people feel about a topic or product, which is very important for investment, revenue management, and gauging public opinion. It adds important data points to the decision process and is valuable input for many statistical and AI models.
What are some of the key data characteristics?
Raw signals are gathered from proprietary sources covering over 50,000 outlets and ingested every 15 minutes. Processed gauge readings are derived from these signals but are displayed with a delay of 3–24 hours depending on the topic - the exact data timestamp is always shown in the gauge footer. The platform includes 5 years of history, supports 72 languages, and processes over 1 million unique entries daily. Adalytica maintains over 99.5% uptime across all products and data services.
Who benefits the most from the sentiment data?
The products are widely used across various industries, including finance, real estate, cryptocurrency, commodities, and government. They provide tailored insights for tasks like tracking voter sentiment, optimizing investment strategies, or monitoring brand perception. We offer products that are tailored for both beginners and advanced data professionals.